{"id":8500,"date":"2012-08-08T21:59:16","date_gmt":"2012-08-08T20:59:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/limbic.tumblr.com\/post\/29002369082"},"modified":"2023-01-06T10:48:12","modified_gmt":"2023-01-06T09:48:12","slug":"noise-and-signal-in-a-data-drowned-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/noise-and-signal-in-a-data-drowned-world\/","title":{"rendered":"Noise and Signal in a data drowned world"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From <a href=\"http:\/\/www.farnamstreetblog.com\/2012\/05\/noise-and-signal-nassim-taleb\/\">http:\/\/www.farnamstreetblog.com\/2012\/05\/noise-and-signal-nassim-taleb\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>When consuming information, we strive for more signal and less noise. The\u00a0problem is a cognitive illusion: we feel like the more information we consume the more signal we receive.<\/p>\n<p>While this is probably true on an absolute basis, Nassim Taleb argues in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Antifragile-Things-That-Disorder-Incerto-ebook\/\">Antifragile<\/a>, that it is not true on a relative basis. He calls is <strong>the noise bottleneck<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Taleb argues that <strong>as you consume more data and the ratio of noise to signal increases, the less you know about what\u2019s going on<\/strong>\u00a0and the more inadvertent trouble you are likely to cause.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Noise and Signal in a data drowned world<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11],"tags":[300,296],"class_list":["post-8500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-miscellaneous","tag-processed","tag-published"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/prY0k-2d6","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5535,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/agnotology-study-of-disinformation-propagation\/","url_meta":{"origin":8500,"position":0},"title":"Agnotology: study of disinformation propagation","author":"Limbic","date":"February 9, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"This is a cracker! Clive Thompson on How More Info Leads to Less Knowledge Is global warming caused by humans? Is Barack Obama a Christian? Is evolution a well-supported theory? You might think these questions have been incontrovertibly answered in the affirmative, proven by settled facts. But for a lot\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Contemporary Culture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Contemporary Culture","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/humanities\/contemporary-culture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5408,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/analysis-second-order-effects-and-black-swans\/","url_meta":{"origin":8500,"position":1},"title":"Analysis, Second Order Effects and Black Swans","author":"Limbic","date":"November 29, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"The current default algorithm for testing new technologies is the Precautionary Principle. There are several formulas of the Precautionary Principle but all variations of this heuristic hold this in common: a technology must be shown to do no harm before it is embraced. It must be proven to be safe\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Anthropology&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Anthropology","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/science\/anthropology\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/farm2.static.flickr.com\/1208\/1411702665_1387c24b84.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":37657,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/information-cascade-lesswrongwiki\/","url_meta":{"origin":8500,"position":2},"title":"Information cascade &#8211; Lesswrongwiki","author":"Limbic","date":"February 7, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"An information cascade occurs when people signal that they have information about something, but actually based their judgment on other people's signals, resulting in a self-reinforcing community opinion that does not necessarily reflect reality.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;psychology memes sociology communications politics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"psychology memes sociology communications politics","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/psychology-memes-sociology-communications-politics\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":37591,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/resulting-fallacy-this-is-the-most-important-fallacy-youve-never-heard-of\/","url_meta":{"origin":8500,"position":3},"title":"Resulting Fallacy &#8211; This Is the Most Important Fallacy You\u2019ve Never Heard Of","author":"Limbic","date":"April 14, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"\"There\u2019s this word that we use in poker: \u201cresulting.\u201d It\u2019s a really important word. You can think about it as creating too tight a relationship between the quality of the outcome and the quality of the decision. You can\u2019t use outcome quality as a perfe...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;cognition psychology biases&quot;","block_context":{"text":"cognition psychology biases","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/cognition-psychology-biases\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":22984,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/rubble-films\/","url_meta":{"origin":8500,"position":4},"title":"Rubble films","author":"Limbic","date":"December 24, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"\"Which, then, are these rubble films (Tr\u00fcmmerfilme)? ...Shandley instead defines \u201crubble films\u201d as a short-lived but important production \u201ccycle.\u201d It is recognizable in recurrent narrative and visual motifs of \u201cthe returning solider\/coming home\u201d theme and settings that register the aftermath of massive war: rubble-strewn streets, collapsed hotels, crumbling apartment houses\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Film&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Film","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/film-2\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":32139,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/blockchain-property-deeds-and-wealth-liberation\/","url_meta":{"origin":8500,"position":5},"title":"Blockchain property deeds and wealth liberation","author":"Limbic","date":"February 4, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"In his under-appreciated classic \"The Mystery of Capital: Why Capitalism Triumphs in the West and Fails Everywhere Else\", Peruvian economist Hernando de Soto argues that the legal structure of property and property rights is a major determinant of the economic success of a country. \"Every developed nation in the world\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Business, Economics &amp; Finance&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Business, Economics &amp; Finance","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/business\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8500","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8500"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8500\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}