{"id":37517,"date":"2015-12-28T22:45:53","date_gmt":"2015-12-28T20:45:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/limbic.tumblr.com\/post\/136132773758"},"modified":"2015-12-28T22:45:53","modified_gmt":"2015-12-28T20:45:53","slug":"how-to-avoid-projects-pursued-by-morons-101","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/how-to-avoid-projects-pursued-by-morons-101\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Avoid Projects Pursued By Morons 101"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Three rules to keep in mind:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Good ideas do not need lots of lies told about them in order to gain public acceptance.<\/li>\n<li>Fibbers\u2019 forecasts are worthless.<\/li>\n<li>Audits are vital.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>From <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.danieldavies.com\/2004_05_23_d-squareddigest_archive.html\">Daniel Davies<\/a> via <a href=\"http:\/\/fabiusmaximus.com\/2015\/12\/28\/daniel-davis-insights-about-experts-predictions-92430\/\">Fabius Maximus<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three rules to keep in mind:Good ideas do not need lots of lies told about them in order to gain public acceptance.Fibbers\u2019 forecasts are worthless.Audits are vital.<br \/>\nFrom Daniel Davies via Fabius Maximus<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/prY0k-9L7","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":42456,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/how-to-avoid-projects-pursued-by-morons-101-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":37517,"position":0},"title":"How to Avoid Projects Pursued By Morons 101","author":"LimbicNutrition Shorts","date":"December 28, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Three rules to keep in mind:Good ideas do not need lots of lies told about them in order to gain public acceptance.Fibbers\u2019 forecasts are worthless.Audits are vital. From Daniel Davies via Fabius Maximus","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17104,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/the-natives-are-restless\/","url_meta":{"origin":37517,"position":1},"title":"The natives are restless","author":"Limbic","date":"March 5, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"As the political centre distorts under popular pressure from \u00a0left and right-wing populists, it is worth considering at least one factor in this story: The lies and guarded, PC speech of the elites (mostly \"Bullshit\" formal variety) makes political extremists look authoritative for stating obvious facts that mainstream political narratives\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Miscellaneous&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Miscellaneous","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/miscellaneous\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17531,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/michael-mauboussin\/","url_meta":{"origin":37517,"position":2},"title":"Michael Mauboussin","author":"Limbic","date":"March 26, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Just heard an interview with Michael Mauboussin on The Knowledge Project podcast (a Farnum Street blog production) and he was super interesting. A few quotes form the podcast. These are paraphrased: \"An expert is someone who has a predictive model that works.\" \"When it comes to decision making, Daniel Kahneman\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Anthropology&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Anthropology","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/science\/anthropology\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16934,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/how-to-compose-a-successful-critical-commentary\/","url_meta":{"origin":37517,"position":3},"title":"How to compose a successful critical commentary","author":"Limbic","date":"December 25, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cIn disputes upon moral or scientific points, let your aim be to come at truth, not to conquer your opponent. So you never shall be at a loss in losing the argument, and gaining a new discovery.\u201d -\u00a0 Arthur Martine,\u00a0 1866 guide to the art of conversation In this everyone-is-a-critic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Contemporary Culture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Contemporary Culture","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/humanities\/contemporary-culture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16301,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/bootleggers-baptists\/","url_meta":{"origin":37517,"position":4},"title":"Bootleggers &#038; Baptists","author":"Limbic","date":"March 1, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Here is a theory of regulation that was new to me - Bootleggers and Baptists: \"Here is the essence of the theory: durable social regulation evolves when it is demanded by both of two distinctly different groups. \u201cBaptists\u201d point to the moral high ground and give vital and vocal endorsement\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Law&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Law","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/law\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20919,"url":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/dalrymple-on-the-the-purpose-of-absurd-propaganda\/","url_meta":{"origin":37517,"position":5},"title":"Dalrymple on the the purpose of absurd propaganda","author":"Limbic","date":"September 11, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cIn my study of communist societies, I came to the conclusion that the purpose of communist propaganda was not to persuade or convince, not to inform, but to humiliate; and therefore, the less it corresponded to reality the better. When people are forced to remain silent when they are being\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Critical Thinking&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Critical Thinking","link":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/category\/critical-thinking\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37517","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37517"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37517\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37517"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37517"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.limbicnutrition.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37517"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}