Georgia and Kosovo: A Single Intertwined Crisis By George Friedman

by Limbic on August 26, 2008

A detail from a recent BELEF streetart exhibition

A detail from a recent BELEF streetart exhibition

In a brilliant article by Stratfor’s George Friedman, we have the most lucid argument I have seen so far for the direct link between Kosovo and Georgia:


Here are the first two paragraphs:

The Russo-Georgian war was rooted in broad geopolitical processes. In large part it was simply the result of the cyclical reassertion of Russian power. The Russian empire — czarist and Soviet — expanded to its borders in the 17th and 19th centuries. It collapsed in 1992. The Western powers wanted to make the disintegration permanent. It was inevitable that Russia would, in due course, want to reassert its claims. That it happened in Georgia was simply the result of circumstance.

There is, however, another context within which to view this, the context of Russian perceptions of U.S. and European intentions and of U.S. and European perceptions of Russian capabilities. This context shaped the policies that led to the Russo-Georgian war. And those attitudes can only be understood if we trace the question of Kosovo, because the Russo-Georgian war was forged over the last decade over the Kosovo question.

Please do yourselves a favour and go and read the article in full.

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