Dmitry Orlov, is of “Reinventing Collapse“, a book about what America can learn from the collapse of the Soviet Union, and currently an in demands expert on how to prepare for the situation the world is facing thanks to the Global recession.
He has a new presentation online via Google Docs called “The Five Stages of Collapse“. He lists the stages as:
Stage 1: Financial Collapse – Faith in “business as usual” is lost. The future can no longer be assumed to resemble the past. Risk can no longer be assessed and financial assets to be guaranteed. Financial institutions become insolvent. Savings are wiped out, and access to capital is lost.
Stage 2: Commercial Collapse – Faith that “the market shall provide” is lost. Commodities are hoarded. Import and retail chains break down. Widespread shortages of survival necessities become the norm.
Stage 3: Political Collapse – Faith that “your government will take care of you” is lost. Government interventions fail to make a difference. Political establishment loses legitimacy and relevance.
Stage 4: Social Collapse – Faith that “your people will take care of you” is lost. Local social institutions, be they charities or other groups that rush in to fill the power vacuum, run out of resources or fail through internal conflict.
Stage 5: Cultural Collapse – Faith in the goodness of humanity is lost. People lose their capacity for “kindness, generosity, consideration, affection, honesty, hospitality, compassion, charity”.
It is a very interesting presentation and I strongly recommend that readers take the time to view it.
Those of you who lived through the chaos of Russia or Serbia in the 90’s will recognise their countries then, except this time there is no relief from or escape to, The West.
Dmitry is blogging at Club Orlov.